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North Carolina Annual Tree Mortality Rate

This query demonstrates mortality estimation using EVALIDator methodology, calculating the average annual mortality rate in trees per acre on forest land in North Carolina.

Query Overview

  • EVALID: 372303 (North Carolina 2023 Growth/Removal/Mortality evaluation)
  • Expected Result: ~0.080 trees per acre per year mortality rate
  • Key Metric: Annual mortality rate for all live trees

Key Features

  • All live tree mortality (not just growing stock)
  • Simple trees per acre calculation
  • Demonstrates basic GRM query structure
  • Annual rate calculation from remeasurement data

Query

-- Simple mortality rate in trees per acre per year
SELECT
    ps.evalid,
    ps.rscd as state_code,
    rs.RS_NAME as state_name,

    -- Total annual mortality (trees)
    SUM(
        tgc.SUBP_TPAMORT_UNADJ_AL_FOREST *
        CASE
            WHEN t.DIA < 5.0 THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MICR
            WHEN t.DIA < COALESCE(CAST(p.MACRO_BREAKPOINT_DIA AS DOUBLE), 9999.0) THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_SUBP
            ELSE ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MACR
        END * ps.EXPNS
    ) as total_annual_mortality_trees,

    -- Forest area for per-acre calculation
    SUM(
        c.CONDPROP_UNADJ *
        CASE c.PROP_BASIS
            WHEN 'MACR' THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MACR
            ELSE ps.ADJ_FACTOR_SUBP
        END * ps.EXPNS
    ) as total_forest_acres,

    -- Per acre mortality rate
    SUM(
        tgc.SUBP_TPAMORT_UNADJ_AL_FOREST *
        CASE
            WHEN t.DIA < 5.0 THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MICR
            WHEN t.DIA < COALESCE(CAST(p.MACRO_BREAKPOINT_DIA AS DOUBLE), 9999.0) THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_SUBP
            ELSE ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MACR
        END * ps.EXPNS
    ) / NULLIF(SUM(
        c.CONDPROP_UNADJ *
        CASE c.PROP_BASIS
            WHEN 'MACR' THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MACR
            ELSE ps.ADJ_FACTOR_SUBP
        END * ps.EXPNS
    ), 0) as mortality_trees_per_acre_per_year,

    COUNT(DISTINCT p.CN) as plot_count

FROM POP_STRATUM ps
JOIN REF_RESEARCH_STATION rs ON ps.rscd = rs.RSCD
JOIN POP_PLOT_STRATUM_ASSGN ppsa ON ppsa.STRATUM_CN = ps.CN
JOIN PLOT p ON ppsa.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN COND c ON c.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN TREE_GRM_COMPONENT tgc ON tgc.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN TREE_GRM_BEGIN t ON t.TRE_CN = tgc.TRE_CN

WHERE
    -- Forest land only
    c.COND_STATUS_CD = 1
    -- Mortality components only
    AND tgc.COMPONENT LIKE 'MORTALITY%'
    -- Has mortality data
    AND tgc.SUBP_TPAMORT_UNADJ_AL_FOREST > 0
    -- North Carolina
    AND ps.rscd = 33
    -- GRM evaluation for mortality
    AND ps.evalid = 372303

GROUP BY ps.evalid, ps.rscd, rs.RS_NAME;

Expected Results

Annual Mortality Rate: - Total Trees: ~1,485,000 trees per year - Forest Area: 18,560,000 acres - Mortality Rate: 0.080 trees per acre per year - Plot Count: 5,673 plots - Coefficient of Variation: ~3.37%

Key Insights

  • 📊 Low Mortality Rate: Less than 0.1 trees per acre annually indicates healthy forests
  • 🌲 All Trees Included: Uses _AL_FOREST columns for all live trees
  • ⏱️ Annual Rate: Values are pre-calculated annual rates, not totals
  • 🔍 Large Sample: Over 5,600 plots provide robust statistical estimates

Alternative Query - By Species Group

-- Mortality rate by species group
SELECT
    CASE
        WHEN rs.SPECIES_GROUP = 1 THEN 'Softwoods'
        WHEN rs.SPECIES_GROUP = 2 THEN 'Hardwoods'
        ELSE 'Unknown'
    END as species_group,

    SUM(
        tgc.SUBP_TPAMORT_UNADJ_AL_FOREST *
        CASE
            WHEN t.DIA < 5.0 THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MICR
            WHEN t.DIA < COALESCE(CAST(p.MACRO_BREAKPOINT_DIA AS DOUBLE), 9999.0) THEN ps.ADJ_FACTOR_SUBP
            ELSE ps.ADJ_FACTOR_MACR
        END * ps.EXPNS
    ) as annual_mortality_trees,

    COUNT(DISTINCT t.SPCD) as species_count

FROM POP_STRATUM ps
JOIN POP_PLOT_STRATUM_ASSGN ppsa ON ppsa.STRATUM_CN = ps.CN
JOIN PLOT p ON ppsa.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN COND c ON c.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN TREE_GRM_COMPONENT tgc ON tgc.PLT_CN = p.CN
JOIN TREE_GRM_BEGIN t ON t.TRE_CN = tgc.TRE_CN
JOIN REF_SPECIES rs ON t.SPCD = rs.SPCD

WHERE
    c.COND_STATUS_CD = 1
    AND tgc.COMPONENT LIKE 'MORTALITY%'
    AND tgc.SUBP_TPAMORT_UNADJ_AL_FOREST > 0
    AND ps.rscd = 33
    AND ps.evalid = 372303

GROUP BY rs.SPECIES_GROUP
ORDER BY annual_mortality_trees DESC;

EVALIDator Methodology

  • Component-Based: Uses pre-calculated values from TREE_GRM_COMPONENT
  • Tree Basis Adjustment: Applies correct factors based on subplot design
  • Annual Rates: TPAMORT_UNADJ values are already annualized
  • Ratio Estimation: Divides total mortality by total area for per-acre rates

Download

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